Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 9.120772 10.643679 12.308603 14.259424 16.477855 18.917287 21.797829
2026-01-18 6.569014 8.630549 11.120369 14.326752 18.321878 23.109303 29.251036
2026-01-25 4.912026 7.110192 9.986960 13.978011 19.313637 26.135732 35.441594
2026-02-01 3.822625 6.017003 9.092753 13.634913 20.070094 28.741985 41.165213
2026-02-08 2.985932 5.076695 8.195970 13.067420 20.331426 30.577804 45.887641
2026-02-15 2.393521 4.371425 7.496527 12.630702 20.644477 32.413425 50.656447
2026-02-22 2.097036 4.076056 7.361407 12.996661 22.137174 36.018671 58.198281
2026-03-01 1.859558 3.832382 7.261878 13.382793 23.665115 39.761003 66.186788
2026-03-08 1.539293 3.376836 6.730706 12.970661 23.840237 41.392740 71.018327
2026-03-15 1.294927 3.016835 6.309250 12.679867 24.159559 43.238757 76.270687
2026-03-22 1.203541 2.945945 6.406232 13.316974 26.112168 47.869412 86.301467
2026-03-29 1.099137 2.827638 6.392860 13.740045 27.710799 52.003397 95.758816
2026-04-05 0.954894 2.607552 6.173412 13.798488 28.756198 55.447277 104.616070
2026-04-12 0.825610 2.397847 5.950325 13.836601 29.798033 59.024874 114.077567
2026-04-19 0.687957 2.134553 5.567198 13.493146 30.065451 61.230570 121.291750
2026-04-26 0.574420 1.903825 5.214815 13.159560 30.303009 63.378731 128.529279
2026-05-03 0.468039 1.663047 4.793531 12.609393 30.027276 64.517851 133.968902
2026-05-10 0.386436 1.470192 4.452012 12.186187 29.959125 66.028203 140.176660
2026-05-17 0.351420 1.411401 4.442364 12.540780 31.596646 71.004772 153.306688
2026-05-24 0.321004 1.359364 4.441494 12.914966 33.309333 76.246932 167.269105
2026-05-31 0.267290 1.211060 4.147855 12.515585 33.229744 77.815871 174.085394
2026-06-07 0.225645 1.092085 3.913975 12.233815 33.385925 79.873436 181.992602
2026-06-14 0.214220 1.085489 4.013700 12.851181 35.730065 86.725935 200.055532